深度学习驱动的电力系统短期调度决策支持研究

Research on short-term scheduling decision support for power systems driven by deep learning

  • 摘要: 针对新型电力系统短期调度难题,构建深度学习驱动的调度决策支持框架,采用CNN-LSTM 注意力 模型与改进PPO算法实现源荷预测与多目标优化。结果表明:负荷预测 MAPE 2.1%,新能源出力预测 ≤ MAPE 3.5%,调度成本降低 12%,常规/极端场景新能源消纳率分别达到95%、91.2%,所提方法的效率与鲁 ≤ 棒性更优,可为电力系统短期调度提供技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: To address the short-term scheduling challenges of new power systems, a deep learning driven scheduling decision support framework is constructed. The CNN-LSTM attention model and improved PPO algorithm are used to achieve source load prediction and multi-objective optimization. The experiment shows that the MAPE of load forecasting is ≤ 2.1%, the MAPE of new energy output forecasting is ≤ 3.5%, the dispatch cost is reduced by 12%, and the new energy consumption rate in conventional/extreme scenarios reaches 95% and 91.2% respectively. The method has better efficiency and robustness, and can provide technical support for short-term dispatch of power systems.

     

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