冰雪灾害天气下的电力系统弹性评估

Resilience assessment of power system under ice and snow disaster weather

  • 摘要: 电力系统弹性评估能体现其对极端事件的抵御能力和恢复能力。为优化冰雪灾害天气下电力系统的弹性评估 方法,提出一种在该极端天气下的电力系统韧性评估框架。首先,分析弹性曲线,构建包含灾变、抢修及恢复全阶 段的韧性评估指标体系;其次,根据冰雪天气特性,预测导线上随时间变化的覆冰厚度,并基于覆冰厚度预测评估 导线应力,进而构建输电线路故障模型,并在该故障模型基础上生成故障集合;最后,考虑故障元件的位置、检修 队伍、负荷重要性等因素,构建电力系统的负荷最快恢复模型,并利用模拟退火优化算法进行求解,得到最优抢修 策略。以IEEE 15节点系统为例,验证了所提评估方法的可行性,该弹性评估方法可以准确、全面地计及各种因素 对电网弹性的影响。算例仿真结果表明,相较于传统抢修分配方案,该算法抢修策略可将电网弹性提升2.88%,为 电力行业开展电网弹性量化分析与弹性提升工作提供了参考依据。

     

    Abstract: The resilience assessment of power systems can reflect their ability to resist and recover from extreme events. To improve the resilience assessment method for power systems under snow and ice disaster weather, proposes a framework for resilience assessment of power systems under extreme snow and ice disaster weather. Firstly, the resilience curve is analyzed to construct resilience assessment indicators for the entire stage of disaster, emergency repair, and recovery of the power system in the face of disasters. Secondly, based on the characteristics of snow and ice weather, the ice thickness on the conductors that changes over time is predicted, and the conductor stress is assessed based on the predicted ice thickness. Subsequently, a transmission line fault model is constructed, and a fault set is generated based on this fault model. Finally, considering factors such as the location of faulty components, maintenance teams, and load importance, a load recovery model with the fastest recovery speed for the power system is constructed. The simulated annealing optimization algorithm is used to solve the problem, and the optimal emergency repair strategy is obtained. Taking the IEEE 15-bus system as an example, the feasibility of the proposed assessment method is verified. This resilience assessment method can accurately and comprehensively consider the impact of various factors on the resilience of the power grid. The simulation results show that the use of this algorithm for emergency repair strategy allocation improves by 2.88% compared to traditional emergency repair strategies, providing a reference for the quantification and resilience improvement of the power sector in the future.

     

/

返回文章
返回