火电厂集控运行参数多源异构数据融合监测技术研究

Research on multi-source heterogeneous data fusion monitoring technology for centralized control operation parameters in thermal power plants

  • 摘要: 提出一种基于统—数据预处理-改进卡尔曼滤波-自适应加权的多层次数据融合监测方法,对集控运行参数 进行实时监测。在状态估计环节,针对机组负荷大幅波动时过程噪声协方差失配、传统卡尔曼滤波跟踪精度下降的 问题,引入基于滑动窗口自适应噪声估计的改进卡尔曼滤波,实现对主汽温度等关键参数的最优状态估计;在多传 感器测量融合环节,针对各传感器精度差异导致等权融合误差偏大的问题,采用基于方差倒数或信息熵权的自适应 加权融合模型,使融合估计方差最小化。同时,建立了基于动态门限、马氏距离、变化率监测及核密度估计等多种 判别准则的分级异常检测机制以及基于综合健康度的整机运行健康评价方法。基于某600 MW超临界机组30天历 史数据的仿真验证表明:与传统卡尔曼滤波相比,主汽温度融合RMSE降低55.9%;负荷阶跃时状态收敛速度提升 约5倍;异常检测率达96.8%,误报率仅2.3%,F1分数为0.971,平均响应时间0.4 s,满足国标集控监测系统响 应时间不大于1 s的要求,为集控的安全稳定运行提供了有效的技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: A multi-level data fusion monitoring method based on unified data preprocessing, improved Kalman filter and adaptive weighting is proposed to monitor the centralized control operation parameters in real time. In the phase of state estimation, aiming at the problem of process noise covariance mismatch and the decline of tracking accuracy of ordinary Kalman filter when the unit load fluctuates greatly, the improved Kalman filter based on sliding window adaptive noise estimation is introduced to realize the optimal state estimation of key parameters such as main steam temperature; In the process of multi-sensor measurement fusion, aiming at the problem of large equal weight fusion error caused by the accuracy difference of each sensor, an adaptive weighted fusion model based on the reciprocal of variance or information entropy weight is adopted to minimize the fusion estimation variance. At the same time, a hierarchical anomaly detection mechanism based on a variety of criteria such as dynamic threshold, Mahalanobis distance, rate of change monitoring and kernel density estimation, and an overall health evaluation method based on comprehensive health degree are established. The simulation verification based on the 30 day historical data of a 600 MW supercritical unit shows that compared with the traditional Kalman filter, the fusion RMSE of main steam temperature is reduced with a decrease of 55.9%; The state convergence speed increases about 5 times when the load steps; The abnormal detection rate was 96.8%, the false alarm rate was only 2.3%, the F1 score was 0.971, and the average response time was 0.4 s, which met the requirements of the national standard centralized control monitoring system that the response time was no more than 1s, and provided effective technical support for the safe and stable operation of centralized control.

     

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