基于AHP的风电场综合效能评价

Comprehensive Efficiency Evaluation of Wind Farm Based on AHP

  • 摘要: 我国风电产业近年来快速发展,面对即将到来的风电退役和更新大潮,建立有利于风电场退役管理的评价体系,对风电场综合效能进行科学评价、了解风电场运行状态具有重要意义。围绕风电场综合效能评价展开研究,针对风电场的运行特点,首先从功率曲线、可利用率和可靠性三方面构建了以评价场内机组发电效率为目标的风电机组效能评价指标体系;随后从风资源、运行能力、电力损失和经济性四方面构建了风电场综合效能评价指标体系;最后以国内某风电场作为案例,采用多层次模糊综合评价法对其进行评价,结果表明:该评价体系能够直观地反映风电场存在的一系列问题,如老旧机组功率曲线偏移率偏高,容量可利用率低于行业均值,且经济性维度中单位容量运维费用与度电成本显著影响综合评分。同时,对即将到达运行年限的风电场处置方式的选择也有一定的指导作用。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, China's wind power industry has developed rapidly. In the face of the upcoming wave of wind power decommissioning and renewal, it is of great significance to establish an evaluation system that is conducive to the decommissioning management of wind farms, conduct a scientific evaluation of the comprehensive effectiveness of wind farms, and understand the operation status of wind farms. This paper conducts research on the comprehensive effectiveness evaluation of wind farms. In view of the operation characteristics of wind farms, firstly, an evaluation index system for the effectiveness of wind turbines is constructed from three aspects: power curve, availability, and reliability, with the goal of evaluating the power generation efficiency of the units within the farm. Subsequently, an evaluation index system for the comprehensive effectiveness of wind farms is constructed from four aspects: wind resources, operation capacity, power loss, and economy. Finally, taking a domestic wind farm as a case, the multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to evaluate it. The results show that this evaluation system can intuitively reflect a series of problems existing in the wind farm, such as the relatively high offset rate of the power curve of old units, the capacity availability being lower than the industry average, and the operation and maintenance costs per unit capacity and the cost per kilowatt-hour in the economic dimension significantly affecting the comprehensive score. At the same time, it also has a certain guiding role in the selection of disposal methods for wind farms that are about to reach their operation.

     

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