基于城市大数据的电力风险隐患智能分析方法

Intelligent analysis method for power system risk and hidden hazards based on urban big data

  • 摘要: 随着城市电网规模的持续扩张和运行复杂度的提升,传统的风险隐患分析方法已难以满足电力系统在多维、多源数据环境下的安全管理需求。结合城市生命线系统理念与大数据分析技术,提出一种基于城市大数据的电力风险隐患智能分析方法。该方法以多源异构城市运行数据为基础,构建电力系统风险指标体系,并引入机器学习与深度神经网络模型,实现对电网设备状态、运行环境及外部影响因素的综合建模与隐患识别。在此基础上,设计了电力风险智能分析框架,包括数据采集层、风险建模层、智能识别层与预警决策层,实现从被动监测到主动预警的转变。通过典型城市电网的应用验证表明,该方法在风险识别准确率、预警响应时间及系统适应性方面较传统方法均有显著提升。研究结果可为城市电网的安全运行与精细化管理提供有效技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: With the continuous expansion of urban power grids and increasing operational complexity, traditional methods for risk and hidden hazard analysis are no longer sufficient to meet the safety management requirements of power systems under multi-dimensional and multi-source data environments. This paper, combining the urban lifeline system concept with big data analysis technology, proposes an intelligent analysis method for power system risks and hidden hazards based on urban big data. The method constructs a risk index system for power systems based on multi-source heterogeneous urban operation data, and introduces machine learning and deep neural network models to achieve comprehensive modeling and hazard identification of power equipment status, operating environment, and external influencing factors. On this basis, an intelligent analysis framework for power system risks is designed, including a data acquisition layer, risk modeling layer, intelligent recognition layer, and early warning decision layer, realizing a transition from passive monitoring to active early warning. Application to a typical urban power grid shows that the proposed method significantly improves risk identification accuracy, early warning response time, and system adaptability compared with traditional methods. The research results can provide effective technical support for the safe operation and refined management of urban power grids.

     

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